Brokers Search the Depths

Published Monday, September 01, 2008

Has the slowdown in retail real estate sales hit bottom? Not yet, say wavering observers who predict that won't occur until the second quarter of 2009 when cap rates on retail properties could be between 8 percent and 10 percent. In the second quarter of 2008, significant retail sales transactions amounted to only $5 billion, according to New York City-based Real Capital Analytics. That represented a 63 percent drop from the second quarter of 2007. More alarming, the figure is a 30 percent drop from the first quarter of this year, when properties worth $7 billion traded hands. ...

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Podcast In the face of the biggest financial crisis and deepest recession since the Great Depression, retail landlords are increasingly falling behind on mortgage payments or defaulting entirely. Owners are facing great difficulties refinancing debt. One major source of financing�commercial mortgage-backed securities�is no longer available. And the lenders that are still in the market have dramatically tightened underwriting standards.

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